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    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends

    Updated: September 23, 2023

    Contrary to what many would assume, the French Riviera is a tricky place to make money on real estate.

    The French Riviera is not a good investment market. Pricing in France does not move quickly outside of Paris, and the villa market is on the decline due to compounding factors.

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - tips buying property france 1 1

    Unlike most other luxury markets, for the past 15 years, real estate on the French Riviera has not even kept up with inflation, let alone what you could make by investing the money in other ways.

    This is a long and detailed guide, so we’ve provided a quick summary at the top, and if you want to learn more you can keep reading below.

    The French National Real Estate Federation predicted a 10% drop in m² prices for 2023 (and they have strong incentive to be optimistic). Others predict a 37% drop by 2025.


    The temporary Covid-period bump in prices is over, and so are the low interest rates and favorable exchange rates that came with it. Here are the main reasons real estate prices will start to get much cheaper by 2024, and stay low for the forseeable future:

    • We are entering a global housing market slump, including all the luxury, and previously solid, markets. Prices in the major housing markets are already decreasing, quite dramatically. You can read about it in the Economist e Bloomberg (and pretty much ever other major publication).
    • French Riviera real estate inflated into an unaffordable bubble in the mid-2000s, becoming much higher than household incomes. Prices then flatlined for 15 years until the Covid bump. This bubble is predicted to pop making prices nosedive by 37% by 2025.
    • The French government is actively trying to make real estate more affordable by adding cumbersome taxes for second homes and thinking up multiple other ways to disincentivize house-flipping, investment purchases, AirBnb rentals, and vacation homes. You can 100% expect more of this in the future.
    • The government has introduced new tax laws that went into effect this year which increased rental income tax from the old rate of 17% to the new rate of 40% for people who have annual income from furnished rentals exceeding €23,000 (which is low for the French Riviera), or whose rental income is greater than the sum of their other activity income. This makes vacation renting much less lucrative.
    • Banks have tightened their lending conditions and become even more cautious. Starting in 2022, the number of mortgages given out was cut, and this will escalate throughout 2023 & 2024 making it harder and harder to get approved for a mortgage. Real estate professionals have felt it: already, nearly half (47%) have seen an increase in the number of sales cancellations due to loan denials, and these cancellations are set to increase.
    • Because of Brexit, British people (estimated at between 25% and 40% of buyers / owners on the French Riviera) will have the amount of time they can spend in the EU (including France) reduced to only 90 days, and they will have to pay a lot more tax on rental income, as well as other new taxes. Mortgages are now more expensive and harder to get for UK residents, and the currency conversion is unfavorable, both making it more expensive than ever to buy outside of the UK. In addition, Brits have had a decrease in spending power due to their currency losing value. These factors are keeping British people from buying new properties on the French Riviera, and at the same time prompting many to consider selling their French Riviera vacation homes.
    • New sanctions on Russians have prompted wealthy Russians to sell their villas before they can be seized. Either way, Russian-owned villas and property seizures (due to the war) could soon flood the market with luxury villas, further driving down prices.
    • Baby Boomers, who are the majority of villa owners on the French Riviera, are getting up there in age and are getting too old or sick to maintain villas (or, sadly, dying of COVID-19), therefore selling their villas and moving into assisted living or apartments. There are not enough wealthy Millennials to pick up the slack (based on the lack of population and wealth in this demographic), and Millennials tend to prefer living in cities and the sharing economy (AirBnb versus owning).
    • We are in the early stages of a global recession that started in early 2023, due to many factors including the long-term economic debt cycle being due for downswing. This is likely to become a major global recession, which has already begun to lower real estate prices globally, and could keep prices low (because credit will be much harder to get, among other factors) for about a decade.
    • Foreign buyers are now buying houses closer to home (within maximum two hours driving distance) and selling their villas in the South of France. This is due to several factors, including: working from home several days of the week, Brexit, and COVID-19. Once a major buyer, Parisian buyers are also now opting to buy villas within driving distance from Paris so they can work from home in comfort, but easily drive to their office.
    • The extension of teleworking has been encouraging certain investors to sell their office real estate for transformation into housing, increasing the amount of housing for sale.
    • Climate Change is causing unprecedented drought along the French Riviera. There are new rules that prohibit watering grass and plants or filling swimming pools. In some areas, there is a complete lack of drinking water, and water is being trucked in. Forest fires are now common, and many parts of the French Riviera are ‘red zone’, meaning you can’t rebuild if your house burns down. This will decrease home values along the French Riviera, and prompt more people to rent or buy in areas that are less affected.

    Number of sales across France:

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - real estate france prices
    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france real estate predictions guide 1
    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france real estate predictions guide riviera

    The sentiment in the USA, for context:

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - real estate immobilier prices

    Real Estate as an Investment?

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france real estate guide predictions 2023

    The unfortunate truth is that the French Riviera is not a good place to buy real estate for an investment. Prices overall have been either flat-lined or decreasing (when adjusted for inflation) in the south of France for nearly 15 years and all signs point to prices decreasing in the future.

    Even during Covid, the French Riviera’s overall prices didn’t keep up with inflation. Yes, some luxury villas sold for higher m2 than ever before, but Covid brought less than a 1% uptick in overall prices in 2020 and a temporary 5% increase in 2021 (when borders reopened during Covid, however, inflation in 2021 was 6.2%). Prices are now declining (for the reasons listed in this guide), and will continue to fall.

    “Despite some neighborhoods performing strongly, prime price growth was largely static on the Côte d’Azur as a whole.” – Knight Frank (2021 report)

    When looking at pricing stats, consider that inflation is not priced in, and when you account for inflation, the prices have been declining.

    Additionally, the French government is actively trying to make real estate less expensive. They’ve recently added cumbersome taxes for second homes, vacation rental profits, and when you sell (up to 49%). They’re forcing banks to reduce the number of mortgages given. They’ve added restrictions on renting, including forcing energy-efficiency renovations. And they’re actively thinking up other ways to disincentivize house-flipping, investment purchases, AirBnb rentals, and vacation homes. You can 100% expect more of this in the future.

    Nice’s average rental yield is only 3.11%, the lowest of the major cities in France, and about half of inflation.

    According to Century 21, many private owners will not undertake the energy renovation works that, as of 2023, are now required in order to rent a property. They will instead sell the property because they don’t want to do the work, or because they can’t financially. 

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france real estate guide predictions 2023
    2018 TO 2022: iNFLATION + THE cOVID bOOM

    Because of newly-wealthy Russian buyers, the prices of luxury coastal real estate on the French Riviera shot straight upwards from the mid-90s until 2008. Since 2008, Russian sanctions have halted their buying craze and the prices have been flat. If you were lucky enough to sell property during that sliver of upwards pricing, you did well, but if you bought post-2008, you will likely have lost money, as real estate prices haven’t kept up with inflation.

    The few who sold their villas for a nice profit either to a wealthy Russian or during the Covid desperation –they got lucky– but, as of 2023, that luck is over.

    If you’re looking to invest in real estate, you're better off buying in Monaco, where the median price has increased by 82% in the last decade.

    TIP: If you’re looking at graphs or percentage price increases over the span of years, it’s important to realize that almost none of these charts or stats are inflation-adjusted. When you adjust for inflation, there is no increase in price over the past decade.

    Interesting fact: Nearly 30% of villas on the French Riviera are classified as ‘second homes’ (many of which are rented as vacation homes for the summer season), and nearly 8% are “unoccupied” (most of those are used exclusively for vacation rentals). Only 62% are primary residences!

    That said, this area is unlike any other on Earth, and if you love the French lifestyle and want to purchase a villa knowing these facts, then there’s a lot to learn before you sign the deed. First, we’ll explain the pricing trends for villas on the French Riviera, then you can continue on to our other France real estate buying guides, listed at the bottom.

    Three Markets in One

    It’s important to understand that the French Riviera is three markets in one: private, off-market, and publicly listed. Almost all villas go through three markets after the seller decides to sell.

    Market 1: The Private Market. First, sellers try to sell without using an agent. About half of all villas are sold privately, without being listed with an agent.

    Market 2: Off-Market. If they couldn’t sell private, then they list with an agent. A large percentage of villas are sold ‘off-market’ by the agent to their existing contacts, without being listed publicly or on the Internet.

    Market 3: Publicly Listed. If nobody wants to buy the villa, then agents list it publicly on the internet. These villas usually sit on the market for many years and don’t sell unless the owner dramatically lowers the price.

    The Current State of the French Riviera Real Estate Market

    Unrealistic Pricing

    According to reports, market analysis, and the economists, agents, buyers, and notaires we consulted, the majority of French Riviera villa properties asking more than €1 million are listed at unrealistic prices and are sitting on the publicly-listed market, often for years, until the seller lowers the price to be much lower than others on the market, with the average selling price being around 60% less than the original asking price, but some villas selling (eventually) for as much as 90% under asking.

    Many sellers are stubbornly keeping their villas on the market at 3x to as much as 8x actual value either because they are speculating or misinformed. These villas have been sitting on the market for years until the prices are lowered. The sold prices that you’ll see happening are when sellers reach the time where they must sell, and they are then forced to take an at-market offer, last-minute.

    One of the problems in this area is that agents frequently lie about the value of the villas so they can secure the listings, as owners generally choose the agents who tell them they can get more for their villa. Who would you list with — the agent who says your villa is only worth €850,000, or the one who promises to get you €4 million?

    Be aware that real estate agents (and notaires) will almost always paint a rosy picture of the market. Their goal is to encourage people to list their homes, and to get buyers to feel an urgency to put in an offer (and the higher the offer is, the more profit they make on the deal). Remember this bias when you read articles about the market.

    Another issue is that the French Riviera gets a lot of speculators who own several ‘vacation rental’ villas. These sellers list at high prices and go ‘fishing’ for an ignorant buyer who will overpay (although it’s very rare that they find one). These villas sit on the market and do not sell because they are listed at rigid, ridiculous prices with owners that are not serious about selling.

    Recession and Climbing Interest Rates

    As most people are keenly aware, we are in the early stages of a global recession that started in late 2022, due to many factors including interest rates and the long-term economic debt cycle being due for downswing. This is likely to become a major global recession, which has already begun to lower real estate prices globally, and could keep prices low (because credit will be much harder to get, among other factors) for about a decade.

    “Tighter [mortgage] borrowing conditions and rising interest rates… The real estate market has shown signs of slowing down in recent months, due to the economic situation, the war in Ukraine, and the nibbling away at purchasing power due to rising inflation.” JDN May 2022 report

    “Goldman Sachs’ analysis found that soaring interest rates, stretched affordability and weakening economic growth will take the heat out of property markets after the pandemic price surge. The Wall Street bank’s model predicted that France will suffer peak-to-trough declines in prices of 9%.”Yahoo, June 2022

    A useful indicator of the outlook is the February 2023 survey undertaken by the national statistics office INSEE into the level of household confidence, which is at its lowest for over 20 years, as shown on the graphic below.

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france real estate guide predictions 2023 1
    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france real estate guide predictions 2023

    Lending Conditions Continue to Tighten

    Starting in 2022, the number of mortgages given out were cut and interest rates rose dramatically; this will escalate throughout 2023 and 2024, making it harder and harder to get approved for a mortgage. Real estate professionals have felt it: nearly half (47%) have seen an increase in the number of sales cancellations due to loan denials, and these cancellations are set to increase.

    A new law came into effect at the beginning of 2022 that requires people taking out mortgages to not have a monthly debt ratio of more than 35%. This means their expenditure, including the monthly mortgage repayment and any other loans or expenses the buyer might have, cannot be more than 35% of their income.

    The notaires’ latest report confirms that this is having an effect on mortgage approval rates. Additionally, a separate report carried out by mortgage broker Vousfinancer found borrowers who have an indebtedness level of under 35% are still being refused loans because of the distance between their work and their prospective home. 

    These new conditions, combined with a general tightening of mortgage conditions imposed by the banks, are already having an effect on the number of villas sold, and consequently will affect villa pricing over time.

    “The structural lack of housing, and low credit rates is what has caused prices to have multiplied by 2.5 in 20 years, and therefore, we feel that this phase is over”, commented Corinne Jolly, president of Particulier à Particulier. New construction is down, with a fall in the first quarter of reservations with developers (-41% over one year) and building permits (-11.5%) as of May 2023.

    Foreign Buyers Are Decreasing

    In 2020, 1.3% of second homes were bought by people who were not residents in France. This is compared to 1.7% in 2010. This trend is predicted to continue in 2024, with the notaires expecting the proportion of foreign buyers to continue to fall.

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - french real estate predictions 2021 2022

    The War and Russian Villa Seizures

    Wealthy Russians own more than 2000 villas on the French Riviera, many of them belonging to Vladimir Putin’s closest friends. Due to Russia initiating war with the Ukraine, France and Monaco have already started seizing the assets and villas of Russians connected to Putin, plus their families, close friends, and anyone who may have benefitted from a friend’s connection to Putin. They are casting an increasingly wider and wider net, scaring many Russians into selling before they are sanctioned.

    This could soon have a profound effect on the real estate market, as potentially hundreds of luxury villas, previously owned by Russians, will soon be seized or voluntarily put on the market for sale.

    The French Riviera “is not a booming market as we used to have pre-2008, [when we had] Russian purchasers who were buying most everything at crazy prices,” says Sotheby’s (Hollywood Reporter, July 2021 article)

    Read our guide to Russian villa seizures & how this will impact the real estate market on the French Riviera, for more details.

    The Last 15 Years

    Aside from the largest cities, real estate in France has been struggling for the past 15 years. The French Riviera’s real estate pricing has performed much worse than most other areas of France, with the rural areas performing the worst.

    Sold prices have, for the past 15 years, been flat-lined or decreasing, aside from a temporary bump due to Covid of between 0.3% and 1.4% (1% average), depending on the area. The Covid bump in prices is already correcting.

    Even before Covid, buyers were pessimistic about the market. Many buyers predicted a drop in the prices of prestigious properties. According to the results of a study carried out in June 2020 by a large French real estate company, 63% of potential buyers are betting on a drop in prices. Conversely, this figure was 32% in 2019 when the majority of buyers bet on the stabilization of property prices (41%) or even an increase (27%).

    The Covid Effect

    During the worst of Covid isolation, from Q3-2020 to Q1-2022, sales in the luxury villa market were typically at prices far above market value, purchased by price-insensitive people (and many Monaco residents) who wanted to move quickly, or people feeling flush due to record-breakingly low interest rates and extremely favorable exchange rates. These sales are not representative of where the market is at overall.

    High-end of the market sales that happened from 2020 to mid-2022 were an anomaly due to a very unique set of circumstances, all of which have since ended.

    Despite these Covid-effect sales, the vast majority of publicly-listed villas that were listed before and during Covid have not sold and remain on the market in 2023, at far higher than market value.

    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france m2 pricing stats immo 1
    Chart from the Notaire’s official website showing the covid-bump

    “The optimism seen at the end of 2021 proved to be short-lived, brought to a halt by the outbreak of the war in the Ukraine. This shock was immediately seen across all economic indicators in March, reflecting the concerns that are weighing on the spending power of both business leaders (-6.1 points in the business climate index in March) and householders (-6 points in the householder confidence index).” – Cushman & Wakefield (2022 report)

    Real estate network Orpi reported that sales were down 17% in the first 3 months of 2022 compared to the same period in 2021. Guillaume Martinaud, president of the Orpi network, told BFM at the end of February 2023: “The party’s over. We are seeing a rebalancing. We feel it very clearly in our agencies – there are no longer queues. I think what’s happening now is healthy,” he said of the drop in prices after two years of being “way too high.”

    “People are realizing that owning house is not what they really want”, comments Corinne Jolly, president of Particulier à Particulier. “They are moving away a little from the postcard image that there was at the end of confinement.”

    2024 and Beyond

    The property market is slowly beginning to recalibrate after being heavily impacted in 2020 and 2021 by Covid-19, which led to a record number of sales of houses. Sold prices are predicted to swing downward and continue to be a buyer’s market for the next decade or more due to factors described in this guide. That’s especially true for rural villas along the French Riviera.

    Notaire data on house sales released earlier this year showed a further decrease in the sales of logements anciens (essentially, non-new-build houses), but the FNAIM report includes the new build market as well and shows there are problems across all aspects of the market. FNAIM estimated that overall demand could decrease by 10% by the end of 2023, correlating to a 5% reduction in house prices, reports La Depeche, but that come true by the middle of 2023. “The lights are on red at all levels.”

    For the first time since Covid-19, the Bien’ici property site has noted a sharp 12% increase in supply and, at the same time, a sharp drop in demand, with searches for houses dropping 30% in the second half of 2022. Meanwhile, property ads are now staying online for 50% longer.

    What Industry Reps Are Saying

    Charles Marinakis of Century 21 said, “According to our observations, the slowdown in activity continues. This is confirmation of what we saw during the second half of 2022. Our figures for January 2023 confirm this trend. Even if the home sector resists, the volume of transactions is decreasing. Overall, the drop is -6% across France. We had anticipated this slowdown. According to the expression, «when it is too expensive, it is too expensive». [We are seeing] a return to progressive reason. Very often, sellers take time to agree to lower their prices.”

    RH CEO Gary Friedman said in December 2022, about the state of the luxury housing market: “I think that the housing market has collapsed, and it went down pretty viciously as interest rates have went up. It’s just a lot of uncertainty right now. But one thing I’m certain of the housing market is collapsing at a level I haven’t seen since 2008. I haven’t seen this kind of drop since 2008.”

    77% of notaires think that 2023 is a good time to sell (in other words, sell as soon as possible, as the prices are decreasing) and a bad time to buy property in France (it’s better to wait, as prices will fall more). Notaires have seen a drop in the number of property purchases in 2022, and expect the market to dip at least 20% in 2023.

    The boss of the L’Adresse network of real estate agencies predicts a 10% price drop, but we think that agencies are trying to keep clients optimistic, and there will likely be an even larger drop. Marc Touati, president of ACDEFI, an independent economic and financial consulting firm, said he expects to see prices drop around 15% by the end of 2023.

    Henry Buzy-Cazaux, founding president of the Institut du Management des Services Immobiliers, in a recent interview with Le Revenu magazine, said, about sold prices, that “a fall in prices of 10% [in vacation markets such as the French Riviera] seems inevitable”, and speaking about the effects of the economy in France, he also predicted an overall real estate market decline of 30%.

    Buyers looking to acquire a villa in France increasingly favor lower priced properties, particularly those under €800,000, and there are significantly less buyers of high-priced villas. This trend has, in part, been caused by the coronavirus pandemic, which has meant fewer wealthy foreign buyers (who have instead bought weekend houses in their country of residence) and more local French buyers. 

    The change in proportion of total sales of villas / countryside houses varied by price bracket:

    • The proportion of villas that sold for under €800,000 increased from 30% in 2019 to 38% in 2021. 
    • Villa sales in the between €800,000 to €1 million increased from 15% to 22% in the same time frame.
    • Properties that sold for between €1 million and €2 million decreased from 35% in 2019 to 29% in 2021.
    • Properties that sold for over €2 million decreased from 20% in 2019 to only 11% of total sales in 2021.
    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - real estate pricing south france 1
    The French Riviera: On a downward price trajectory

    Remember that you can't compare the French Riviera to France overall. There are regional differences in property price changes, and the French Riviera has far less growth than many other areas in France. For example, in 2021 the annual m² sold price rose 12.4% in Rennes and only 0.6% in Nice. Paris alone pulls the ‘overall France’ real estate pricing trends way upwards.

    The easiest way to see the historic trends in pricing (and the recent sales prices) in a specific area of the French Riviera is on the JDN website — the only website here that isn’t biased. It doesn’t sustain from real estate sales or advertising, and doesn’t only focus on real estate. It is the most accurate to look at for real estate averages, as they pull in all the sales and also look at the m² villa sizes advertised in sales listings, to display the most accurate data.

    Tip: Pricing is dropping, so keep in mind the time period that the estimation is based on. The longer the time period, the higher the pricing will seem, compared to pricing from the past several months alone. And always remember that average m² price estimations are wrong.

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    2017 up until the start of 2020
    2023 & 2024 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends - france real estate price predictions 2024
    2019 up until the start of 2022

    Expert Market Predictions for 2024

    Nel 2023, la Costa Azzurra è un mercato di acquirenti, e lo sarà ancora di più per molti anni a venire, a causa della recessione globale, degli alti tassi di interesse, degli acquirenti stranieri che acquistano sempre più case nei loro paesi di residenza, della Francia che disincentiva in modo aggressivo la seconda casa e gli investimenti proprietà e l'essere il mercato delle ville di lusso inondato di ville vendute o sequestrate ai russi.

    Abbiamo consultato una serie di importanti economisti, consulenti per gli investimenti e (onesti) agenti immobiliari e notai, nonché acquirenti recenti, in merito al mercato delle ville della Costa Azzurra quotato in borsa, e questi erano i nostri risultati (questo vale solo per le ville in Costa Azzurra).

    Tieni presente che i m² elencati di seguito sono i pubblicizzato m², non il m² falsamente bassi elencati dai notai. I prezzi sotto riflettono venduto prezzi, no chiedendo prezzi.

    Prezzi di vendita di oltre 3 milioni di euro

    • Mercato di fascia molto alta
    • Prezzi venduti di oltre 3 milioni di euro
    • Normalmente si applica a ville eccezionali e ultra-lussuose di oltre 1000 m², spesso con più ville nella proprietà

    Questo segmento di mercato è molto difficile da valutare perché ci sono così poche vendite in questa categoria. Queste sono le proprietà balneari più lussuose, altamente desiderabili e uniche della Costa Azzurra. La maggior parte era di proprietà di russi e rimane sul mercato da molti anni senza vendere.

    Meno del 5% delle ville quotate a più di 3 milioni di euro finiscono per essere vendute a più di 3 milioni di euro. In questo segmento, alcuni dei prezzi eccessivi sono dovuti a Il russo ha bisogno di vendere ville che hanno pagato troppo sul mercato.

    La stragrande maggioranza delle ville vendute a questo prezzo è stata venduta tra il 65% e un sorprendente 85% in meno rispetto al prezzo richiesto originale, con uno sconto medio di circa il 70%. Abbiamo visto molte ville altamente desiderabili che sono state vendute negli ultimi due anni con uno sconto del 70% + sul prezzo richiesto originale. Un paio di esempi tipici: in Beaulieu-sur-Mer, due enormi ville con vista mare recentemente rinnovate sulla stessa proprietà che originariamente erano quotate a 18 milioni di euro appena vendute per 3,6 milioni di euro, e una villa altamente desiderabile con vista mare libera al 100% sulla punta di Capo Martino è stato quotato a 4,9 milioni di euro e recentemente venduto per 1,8 milioni di euro.

    Come in tutte le categorie di mercato, le ville troppo care non si vendono, anche se lo sono ville famose e molto ambite. di Sean Connery splendida villa sul mare è un ottimo esempio di ciò: il suo prezzo era tagliare a metà dopo un anno sul mercato e ancora Ancora non ha venduto, dopo abbondanti quantità di pubblicità e copertura giornalistica e più di tre anni sul mercato. Un'ambita villa di Cap d'Ail di proprietà di un oligarca russo è stata elencata privatamente, per una somma non rivelata, dal 2015, e pubblicamente (da molte agenzie) dal 2017, prima per 30 milioni di euro e ora per € 23 milioni - e non è ancora stato venduto. Ci sono molti altri esempi simili, soprattutto nella fascia alta del mercato con proprietari russi.

    Questo è perché consulenti finanziari esperti di acquirenti facoltosi prevedono che il mercato sia in una tendenza al ribasso dei prezzi a lungo termine, perché le banche non autorizzeranno mutui sopravvalutati e perché I russi non arrivano più con valigie di contanti. È probabile che questi fattori spingano i prezzi molto, molto più in basso.

    Prezzi venduti da 1 a 3 milioni di euro

    • Mercato delle ville di lusso di fascia media
    • Prezzi di vendita da 1 milione di euro a 3 milioni di euro
    • Normalmente si applica a ville di lusso da 250 m² a 1000 m²

    This segment saw a small bump in selling prices during Covid, of around 0.5%, with occasional sales at much higher than market value (due to the Covid effect). Since 2022 sales have normalizes and overall volume has decreased. We expect sold prices (not asking prices) to continue to drop significantly in 2024. Currently, this segment of the market is stagnant, while buyers wait for prices to fall.

    Le ville in questa fascia vengono vendute con uno sconto compreso tra il 40% e l'80% sul prezzo richiesto, come eccesso di prezzo estremo abbonda in questa fascia di prezzo. Ci sono molti più venditori in questo segmento di serio acquirenti. Le ville ultramoderne sono richieste (ma non se troppo care), mentre gli stili in pietra, dall'aspetto antico e classico non si vendono.

    Questi proprietari sono spesso anziani o russi. Aspettatevi di vedere un aumento delle vendite in difficoltà in questo segmento nei prossimi anni a causa dell'invecchiamento dei baby boomer, dell'economia, delle vendite straniere a causa dell'aumento delle tasse, del Sequestri di ville russee i continui effetti della Brexit.

    Prezzi di vendita da 600.000 € a 1 milione di €

    • Mercato delle ville di fascia medio-bassa
    • Prezzi venduti da € 600.000 a € 1 milione
    • Normalmente si applica alle ville inferiori a 400 m²

    In this bracket, well-priced villas in good condition sold well until interest rates started to increase in 2022, and now the number of total sales are decreasing. However, we expect pricing to be flat-lined throughout 2023 and drop signficantly in 2024 due to affordability issues.

    I principali acquirenti in questa fascia sono le famiglie francesi. I venditori in questo segmento sono generalmente cittadini francesi o cittadini britannici. In entrambi i casi, hanno motivazione a vendere (questioni economiche, divorzio, difficoltà finanziarie legate al Covid, ecc.) e la Brexit continuerà a influenzare questo segmento.

    Il mercato potrebbe essere lento ad adeguarsi

    Spesso, quando l'attività di acquisto rallenta, i proprietari di case e gli agenti immobiliari impiegano del tempo per adeguare le loro aspettative e abbassare i prezzi. Nel frattempo, le proprietà a prezzi realistici potrebbero essere vendute, ma le proprietà che non adeguano i loro prezzi rimarranno sul mercato, spesso per anni, fino a quando non adeguano le loro aspettative e abbassano il prezzo per essere in linea con il mercato (scopri come determinare il prezzo corretto).

    Tieni a mente che le statistiche che includono l'intera Francia sono fuorvianti in quanto includono grandi città come Parigi e Marsiglia, dove la domanda rimane forte ei prezzi sono in aumento. Le aree rurali e di villeggiatura come la Costa Azzurra sono, al contrario, su una traiettoria discendente.

    Agenti immobiliari e notai vieni pagato quando completi l'acquisto e più spendi, più guadagnano. Quindi, naturalmente, tendono ad essere molto ottimisti riguardo al mercato. Sono incentivati ​​a dirti che è un mercato molto caldo e che i prezzi stanno aumentando, poiché questo spinge gli acquirenti a sentirsi come se dovessero acquistare prima e per più soldi, e incentiva i venditori a mettere in vendita le loro case. Anche in mercati ovviamente deboli o in calo, agenti e notai ti diranno spesso che è un mercato caldo.

    Comprare una Villa? Leggi questo prima!

    Quando sei pronto a cercare una proprietà, assicurati di leggere il nostro guida completa all'acquisto di immobili in Francia. Queste guide spiegano come stimare una proprietà vero valore, come ottenere il prezzo migliore ed evitare prezzi eccessivi, a cosa prestare attenzione, come evitare di essere truffati e altro ancora.

    Innanzitutto, per capire il mercato immobiliare in Francia, devi capire come Il prezzo al m² è una truffa gigantesca. Quindi, puoi passare alle altre guide:

    Il nostro guida agli annunci immobiliari include: come trovare ville in vendita, a cosa prestare attenzione, disinformazione e avvertimenti, aste e pignoramenti, acquisto diretto dai venditori, perché il tempismo è tutto e il motivo per cui solo circa la metà delle vendite di ville sono quotate pubblicamente.

    Il nostro guida a truffe e segreti include: avvertimenti sui trucchi non etici che agenti, notai, venditori, sviluppatori e costruttori usano per ottenere più soldi da te. Questa è una lettura obbligata e la guida per gli informatori che chi è nel settore non vuole che tu veda.

    Il nostro guida agli agenti immobiliari include: le cose disoneste che ti diranno gli agenti, come operano le agenzie immobiliari, gli agenti dell'acquirente e i cercatori di proprietà, perché dovresti evitare gli agenti illegali e non locali e di chi fidarti (un avvertimento importante).

    Il nostro guida ai prezzi e alla determinazione del valore di mercato di una villa include: perché c'è così tanto sovrapprezzo estremo, come stimare il valore di mercato di una villa (quanto vale) e una guida passo passo per trovare il prezzo dell'offerta. Inoltre, supplementare guida ai russi e al loro impatto sul mercato immobiliare della Costa Azzurra.

    Il nostro guida alle cose importanti da scoprire include: rapporti diagnostici e sondaggi, sole e microclima, potenziali problemi con la vista, tasse di alloggio, età, accesso a Internet e mobile, zone di pericolo (rosse), rischi per la salute, problemi di privacy e spazio, problemi nelle vicinanze, cosa stai Possederò effettivamente aggiunte e strutture illegali, perché stanno vendendo, come verificare e altro ancora.

    Il nostro guida alle cose da considerare include: il tuo effettivo costi, problemi con l'acquisto di una villa "rinnovata di recente", informazioni sulla criminalità locale e sugli squatter e domande da porsi.

    Il nostro guida al processo di acquisto include: negoziazione del prezzo e dell'offerta iniziale, scelta di un notaio onesto, acquisto in nero, offerta ufficiale e deposito, utilizzo di una SCI, insidie ​​contrattuali, periodo di riflessione, cosa fare prima di consegnare il denaro e firma finale.

    Il nostro guida per dopo l'acquisto include: insidie ​​assicurative, consigli per la seconda casa, affitto della villa, ristrutturazione e cosa sapere sull'assunzione di persone.

    Guida per i venditori: Come valutare la tua villa in modo che venga venduta.

    Il contenuto è legalmente protetto.

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